The so-called polling "Nostradamus" said he contacted police after allegedly receiving threats against his life.
The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, if the polls were anything to go by, was extremely close. Except, it wasn’t: ...
Billions of dollars were staked on the election on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, with betting now open on Cabinet positions.
The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...
a professor of statistics at Rutgers University who trades prediction contracts, “What the market incentivizes is being right.” And so people like Crane make themselves election experts. Crane, for ...
Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is ...
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has split its stock twice since going public in 2010, and both occurred in just the past four years.  The ...
In the decision room, half-eaten Chipotle bowls lay scattered around the room, and every open screen displayed a dense ...
The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...
Well, that's where the work we do for our election forecasting model can be helpful. In our final presidential forecast, ...
The $3.6 billion contract closed Wednesday morning as the Associated Press, Fox and NBC declared the election for Republican candidate Donald Trump.
The National Hurricane Center designated Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 in the central Caribbean yesterday. This system will ...