Election Forecast Model Has Kamala Harris Winning Every Swing State
Forecast previously showed that former President Donald Trump would win in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.
Nate Silver slammed over Trump election model — but forecasters "all saying roughly the same thing”
Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others
Is a 2024 Victory in Sight for Donald Trump? New Electoral College Model Gives Trump 312 Votes, Kamala Harris 226
A new electoral college projection, reportedly based on a model developed by Nate Silver, has sparked significant discussion by predicting a decisive victory for Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Donald Trump Suffers Major Blow in Top Election Forecast
The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's forecast model.
Polling guru Nate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the Electoral College in latest forecast
Nate Silver predicted Trump has a 64% chance of winning the Electoral College on Sunday in an update to his latest election forecast, following the results of new poll.
New election forecast model predicts Harris win
Similar models correctly predicted the 2020 presidential election and 2021 runoff elections for two Georgia senate seats.
Nate Silver slammed over Trump election model — but forecasters "all saying roughly the same thing”
Election handicapper Nate Silver's prediction model is in the spotlight thanks to an election forecast that seems bullish on former President Donald Trump’s chances of victory, raising questions ...
More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split
Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out from election day.
According to Miller's latest forecast, Harris is expected to secure 55% of the popular vote.
Data scientist Thomas Miller, who accurately predicted the 2020 election, now forecasts a landslide victory for Kamala Harris ...
Data Scientist's Betting-Odds Model Predicts Kamala Harris Landslide
Using betting markets rather than traditional polls, Thomas Miller has predicted a landslide for the Democrat in November.
The Economist20h
Pennsylvania, the crucial battleground in America’s election
The Economist’s forecast model suggests that the state—with its 19 electoral-college votes, the most of any swing state—is ...
2 top experts predict outcome of presidential election – and arrive at different results
The election is coming up soon, and two political gurus have shared their predictions for the next president using two unique ...
Washington Monthly9d
Probabilistic Election Forecasts Are Stupid and You Should Not Look at Them
Also, Jonathan Alter previews tonight’s debate, Zephyr Teachout defends Kamala Harris’s price-gouging ban, and more in the ...
projects.fivethirtyeight1d
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most ...